UK & Ireland Odds Decoded: Fractional vs Decimal, Each-Way Math, and Market Moves
Odds formats (quick conversions)
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Fractional → Decimal:
Dec = (Num/Den) + 1
Example: 5/2 → 3.5 -
Decimal → Fractional (rule of thumb): subtract 1, express as a simple fraction
Example: 2.20 → 1.20 ≈ 6/5 -
Implied probability:
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Fractional:
Imp% = Den / (Num + Den)
5/2 →2 / (5+2) = 28.57%
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Decimal:
Imp% = 1 / Dec
3.50 →1/3.50 = 28.57%
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Overround (book margin)
For a market with outcomes p1…pn
, convert each price to implied % and add them.
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Example (three outcomes): 43% + 31% + 30% = 104% → ~4% book margin.
Lower totals (closer to 100%) = sharper market for you.
Each-way (EW) essentials (horse racing)
An EW bet is two bets: win and place.
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Place terms: shown as a fraction of the win odds (e.g., 1/5) and number of places (e.g., 1–4).
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Payouts (example): 10/1 (11.0 dec), 1/5 odds, 1–4 places, 1pt EW (2pts total).
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Horse wins: Win returns = 1pt × 10/1; Place returns = 1pt × (10/1 × 1/5 = 2/1).
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Horse places (no win): Only the place part pays at 2/1.
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When EW helps: bigger fields, generous place terms, horses with consistent placing profiles.
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When to go win-only: shorter prices (≤ 6/1) or stingy place terms.
Rule 4 (deductions)
If a horse is withdrawn after you bet, winnings can be reduced by a set pence-in-the-pound scale tied to the withdrawn horse’s price. Always check your book’s Rule 4 table before race time.
Football (soccer) markets: UK/IE basics
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Asian Handicaps (AH): quarter-ball lines (e.g., −0.25/ +0.25) split stakes; draws can refund half.
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Totals (goal lines): 2.25/2.75 split stakes between 2.0 and 2.5 (or 2.5 and 3.0).
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Cards & corners: highly ref/tempo dependent—know venue, weather, and referee profile.
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Team news cadence: England announcements closer to kickoff; in Ireland, late lineup info can move totals quickly.
Market moves (what they often mean)
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Shortening price (drift-in): demand, positive news, or reduced field strength (racing).
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Drift (price lengthens): lack of interest, negative signals, or ground going against a running style.
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Going changes (racing): Soft/Heavy boosts stamina types; Good-to-Firm favours speed/on-pace.
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Weather (football): strong wind suppresses crosses/long shots → totals can tick down.
Quick pre-bet checklist
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Confirm place terms (racing), line rules (football), and Rule 4/NRNB/BOG policies
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Convert your chosen price → implied %; compare across books
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Note your skip price (discipline beats FOMO)
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Log results by units and CLV (did your number beat the close?)
Educational content only—no tips on the blog. Bet responsibly.
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